Fenomén „hot hand“ v MMA

In this work, I examine the phenomenon of "hot hand" in the sport of MMA, in other words, I examine the effect of a series of wins on the probability of winning another match. In my work, I use the model of logistic regression function (logit binary), which I use to analyze the impact of a series of wins in UFC matches in the period from 2010 to 2021. People and players perceive a series of successful attempts as a signal of increased current player performance. My research seeks to answer the question of whether a series of wins can positively affect a fighter's probability of winning another match. The existence of a hot hand effect has not been convincingly investigated in previous articles. Some literature rejects it, others confirm it and some confirm it only under certain conditions. By analyzing the hot hand effect, I came to the conclusion that a series of wins has a statistically significant positive effect on the probability of winning the next match.