Analýza vývoje nezaměstnanosti a kriminality v Ústeckém kraji v letech 2014-2024

This bachelor’s thesis examines the development of unemployment and crime in the Ústí nad Labem Region between 2014 and 2024 and assesses whether there is a statistically identifiable relationship between the two phenomena. The Ústí nad Labem Region has long been among the regions affected by structural problems, higher unemployment and an increased level of total registered crime, which makes it a suitable area for analysing the relationship between socio-economic and security-related phenomena. The theoretical part defines the basic concepts related to the labour market, unemployment, crime and the economic approach to crime. It also includes a summary of selected studies, which serve as an interpretative framework for evaluating the identified relationships. The practical part is based on an analysis of secondary data for the Ústí nad Labem Region and its districts. Unemployment is assessed using the annual average number of job applicants and the share of unemployed persons, while crime is assessed using the total number of registered criminal offences. The relationship between the two phenomena is evaluated using Pearson’s correlation coefficient and is supplemented by an analysis of year-on-year changes. The results show that between 2014 and 2019 both unemployment and crime declined, while after 2020 the development of both indicators changed and became more variable. The district-level comparison confirms persistent intra-regional differences, especially the less favourable situation in the districts of Most and Chomutov. The correlation analysis indicates a positive relationship between unemployment and crime in the long term, while the relationship between short-term year-on-year changes is weaker. The findings therefore suggest that unemployment may be one of the factors associated with crime.