Vztahy při modelování financí podniku

This bachelor thesis views a construction company as a complex dynamic organism and develops the concept of the "financial brain" integrating the flows of working capital, profitability, and liquidity. The aim of the thesis is to construct a system dynamics model of OHLA ŽS, a.s., and simulate its resilience against external market changes. The methodology combines causal loop diagramming (CLD), the quantification of relationships using the Vester Impact Matrix, and What-If scenario testing. The analysis of real data from 2020–2024 confirmed the system's self-regulatory capacity through a reinforcing acquisition loop and balancing cost and cash flow loops. Stress simulations revealed that issued bank guarantees constitute a critical restrictive ceiling for contract backlog creation, while material inflation and a decline in the pace of construction sharply compress operating profit (EBIT) due to a high degree of operating leverage. However, a large stock of available liquidity shields the enterprise from secondary insolvency. The conclusions of the thesis verify the interconnectedness of financial processes and provide strategic recommendations to enhance the company's internal stability.