Vliv politických rozhodnutí v oblasti enviromentálních a socio-ekonomických problémů na rozvoj potravinářského průmyslu v České republice: agentní simulace v prostředí NetLogo

The thesis estimates how combined environmental and socio-economic pressures affect the structure of the Czech food industry and which groups of firms bear the impact. It tests four policies: the extension of EU emissions trading to buildings and transport, a binding food waste target, a shift in demand towards plant-based diets, and wage pressure. The instrument is an agent-based model in NetLogo whose 10,238 firms match the real size and sub-sector structure of CZ-NACE 10. It is calibrated to four targets, validated against eight indicators it was not tuned on, and reproduces the observed 2016 to 2023 shift in sub-sector structure without any policy intervention. What decides the impact of cost-side policy is the ability of firms to pass cost increases on to prices: combined, the four pressures cost the industry 6.6 % of its firms over ten years at a pass-through rate of 0.7, but 23.4 % if nothing is passed through. The impact falls by sub-sector rather than by firm size, and industry aggregates conceal the loss of the smallest firms.