Celní válka Donalda Trumpa a její dopad na vzájemné obchodní toky USA a Číny 2017-2021

This bachelor’s thesis analyzes the impacts of the trade war between the United States of America and China in the period 2017–2021 on bilateral trade flows. The aim is to identify changes in the volume and structure of trade, determine the most affected commodity groups, and assess whether trade flows were redirected. The analysis is based on UN Comtrade data and combines an aggregated perspective with a detailed examination of strategically selected commodities. The results indicate that the implemented tariff measures primarily led to a temporary disruption of trade relations, followed by a partial recovery of trade flows. At the same time, the effects varied across individual sectors. In the case of Chinese exports to the United States, there are indications in some instances of circumvention of the measures through third countries, while for U.S. exports to China, the response more often involved substitution by alternative suppliers or an increase in China’s domestic production.