Cesta Turecka k Ekonomické Diverzifikaci: Politiky, Pokrok a Budoucí Směřování 2001-2024

This thesis explores and investigates Turkey’s transition from the traditional method of capital accumulation growth toward an innovation led development model while being stuck in the boundaries of the Middle Income Trap. Utilizing a dual analytical approach, the study evaluates the effectiveness of the 10th Development Plan, implemented in 2014, which aimed to improve export sophistication and productive knowledge. Practical analysis employs a comparative mean analysis of the Economic Complexity Index between the pre policy (2001–2013) and post policy (2014–2024) periods. Results reveal that even though ambitious industrial objectives were set, export sophistication has underwent only a marginal distance rather than a structural leap. Further analysis utilizes a Trend Adjusted Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression to examine the relationship between institutional quality which is evaluated by a composite "WGI Duo" composing of Rule of Law and Regulatory Quality ratings and economic complexity. The empirical results suggest that while Turkey’s complexity continues to improve upward due to external global technological development, the impact of domestic institutional quality is statistically insignificant. The findings also suggest that an institutional slide toward inefficient institutions since 2014 has created a structural ceiling, which discourages the high risk discovery process that is necessary for complex industrialization. The study concludes that sustainable and major structural transformation is not naturally achievable through industrial planning alone .It requires a fundamental restoration and development of the legal and regulatory frameworks needed to reduce the costs of innovation.