Dopady změn cen ropy na světovou ekonomiku

Crude oil has always been seen as one of the most important commodities on the planet, and this has been the reason why it attracted so much public attention from the very beginning of existence of crude oil industry. Economy scientists are no exception in this case so they conducted a significant amount of studies on how crude oil prices affect ecnomies. This work relates to the same scope of topics and tests the following hypothesis: macroeconomic indicators on state and global levels depend on fluctuation in crude oil prices. In the theoretical part of this work confirmation of such dependance was found in other works aimed at certain world regions. In the practical part correlation analyses were conducted to further confirm similar dependence for virtually all types of states. To specify, correlations between oil prices and GDP, CPI indice, net export were tested on state level and furthermore correlations between oil prices and GDP, CAB, unemployment rate were tested on global level. As a result the main hypothesis was not disproved, so oil prices can be seen as a factor that does affect some macroeconomic indicators in all kinds of states hence on global level as well. However results were such that some further analyses with more complex model have to be conducted in order to prove or disprove some inconsistent findings of this particular work, which can be viewed as a good base for future works.