This bachelor thesis is focused on emissions produced by transportation of EU countries, categorized based on GDP per person. More detailed analysis is oriented on the development of emissions in road and in international flight transportation. The primary object is to identify significant intervention of the EU and their contribution to the development of transportation emissions, both in general and specifically in the Czech Republic. Additionally, the thesis aims to predict future values... zobrazit celý abstraktThis bachelor thesis is focused on emissions produced by transportation of EU countries, categorized based on GDP per person. More detailed analysis is oriented on the development of emissions in road and in international flight transportation. The primary object is to identify significant intervention of the EU and their contribution to the development of transportation emissions, both in general and specifically in the Czech Republic. Additionally, the thesis aims to predict future values in transportation. Measures of dynamics were used to determine the impact of commitment periods of the Kyoto Protocol on development in annual time series emission of transportation and identify extreme values. The relative growth rate of selected EU countries fluctuated until the year 2008, except relative growth rates of Portugal and Denmark. The impact of the first commitment period (2008–2012) caused the relative growth rate of EU countries to decrease below zero. Relative growth rates of many EU countries were reaching positive values in the second commitment period. There was a sudden downfall in the relative growth rates of all EU countries in the year 2020. Moving on to relative growth rates discover intense fluctuation of emissions produced by transportation in the Czech Republic. Euro standards of the EU had an impact on road transportation emissions. International flight transportation was impacted by the emission trading system. The beginning of rising relative growth rates of road transportation (1997)and international transportation (2002) started at different times. The decrease in relative growth rates of both transportation means (2008–2012) was caused by the first commitment period. Relative growth rates of transportation means are rising during the second commitment period. Relative growth rates of road and international flight transportation are rapidly decreasing during the researched period. Linear regression functions and the ARIMA(p,d,q) models were used for a more detailed analysis of emissions in means of transportation. Predicted values of models show a decrease in emissions in road transportation and a rise in emissions in international flight transportation.In conclusion, the thesis successfully identifies the impactful interventions of the EU in transportation emissions and provides predictions for future development in the Czech Republic. |