Dopady ropných šoků v 70. letech na migrační situaci ve Spojených státech amerických

The main aim of this study is to analyze and critically evaluate the impact of oil shocks in the United States on the migration situation in the United States between 1970 and 1985. More precisely, it concerns the first oil shock in 1973-74, when the United States was not prepared and had no experience with this crisis situation, and the second oil shock in 1979, when the United States already had some historical experience. The selection of these shocks is based on their impacts on the American economy, as the impacts were greater than subsequent oil shocks. I chose the time period 1970-1985 so that the hypothesis could be set in a broader time period and not limited to the years when the oil shocks occurred. The first part of the study deals with the economic theory related to oil shocks. Specifically, it involves negative supply shocks and the accommodation of the supply shock. Subsequently, the work addresses the initial impulse of the first and second oil shocks and the economic and migration policies related to the selected oil shocks. This is followed by migration, where migration factors are provided. The second part of the study consists of a comprehensive analysis of macroeconomic impacts, which is then intersected with migration and population analysis. Based on the findings, the tested hypothesis is confirmed, establishing a relationship between migration and oil shocks. More precisely, the dependence between migration factors and macroeconomic impacts of the first and second oil shocks is confirmed.