Advanced statsitical methods in non-life insurance reserving

Thesis title: Advanced statsitical methods in non-life insurance reserving
Author: Kabdenova, Malika
Thesis type: Diploma thesis
Supervisor: Zimmermann, Pavel
Opponents: Gerthofer, Michal
Thesis language: English
Abstract:
Reserving has always been an important task for insurance companies. With the adoption of Solvency II directive, development of stochastic modelling for that purpose is becoming increasingly important as uncertainty of the predictions is legally required. The generalized linear model (GLM) is a popular method used for claims reserving, however, there is a need for development of models with more sophisticated correlation structures without the restrictive assumption of independence of incremental claims. This thesis implements the generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) on aggregated insurance dataset using more than one random effect. Both the theory behind GLM and GLMM as well reserving theory were discussed. Practical application of one GLM and three different GLMM models on a real dataset and their further comparison and diagnostics were carried out. The goal was to find the structure of the model best suited for the given dataset measured using several criteria.
Keywords: claims reserving; mixed models; generalized linear mixed model; random effects; non-life insurance; panel data; generalized linear models
Thesis title: Advanced statistical methods in non-life insurance reserving
Author: Kabdenova, Malika
Thesis type: Diplomová práce
Supervisor: Zimmermann, Pavel
Opponents: Gerthofer, Michal
Thesis language: English
Abstract:
Reserving has always been an important task for insurance companies. With the adoption of Solvency II directive, development of stochastic modelling for that purpose is becoming increasingly important as uncertainty of the predictions is legally required. The generalized linear model (GLM) is a popular method used for claims reserving, however, there is a need for development of models with more sophisticated correlation structures without the restrictive assumption of independence of incremental claims. This thesis implements the generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) on aggregated insurance dataset using more than one random effect. Both the theory behind GLM and GLMM as well reserving theory were discussed. Practical application of one GLM and three different GLMM models on a real dataset and their further comparison and diagnostics were carried out. The goal was to find the structure of the model best suited for the given dataset measured using several criteria.
Keywords: claims reserving; non-life insurance; generalized linear models; generalized linear mixed model; random effects; mixed models; panel data

Information about study

Study programme: Kvantitativní metody v ekonomice/Quantitative Economic Analysis
Type of study programme: Magisterský studijní program
Assigned degree: Ing.
Institutions assigning academic degree: Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze
Faculty: Faculty of Informatics and Statistics
Department: Department of Statistics and Probability

Information on submission and defense

Date of assignment: 27. 10. 2016
Date of submission: 21. 12. 2017
Date of defense: 31. 1. 2018
Identifier in the InSIS system: https://insis.vse.cz/zp/59445/podrobnosti

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