Application of the Phillips curve in EU

Thesis title: Application of the Phillips curve in EU
Author: Šťastná, Zuzana
Thesis type: Diploma thesis
Supervisor: Brůna, Karel
Opponents: Chung, Su Won
Thesis language: English
Abstract:
This thesis aims to explore the validity of the Phillips curve in the EU between 2000 and 2019. Using the simple linear regression model, we discover the relationship between the rate of unemployment and the inflation rate in four different EU countries and we determine whether it corresponds to the theory described by A. W. H. Phillips in 1958. We examine the nature, shifts, and slope of constructed curves together with the Okun’s law interpreted as an additional aspect to the overall analysis. Our results suggest that the relationship between inflation and unemployment rates is positive in two analysed countries between 2000 and 2006 which directly contradicts Phillips’ theory. Additionally, we discover the importance of cost factors and ineffective labour market policies and their harmful effect on the accuracy of the Phillips curve model.
Keywords: Phillips curve; Monetary policy; Inflation; Unemployment; Okun's law
Thesis title: Application of the Phillips Curve in EU
Author: Šťastná, Zuzana
Thesis type: Diplomová práce
Supervisor: Brůna, Karel
Opponents: Chung, Su Won
Thesis language: English
Abstract:
This thesis aims to explore the validity of the Phillips curve in the EU between 2000 and 2019. Using the simple linear regression model, we discover the relationship between the rate of unemployment and the inflation rate in four different EU countries and we determine whether it corresponds to the theory described by A. W. H. Phillips in 1958. We examine the nature, shifts, and slope of constructed curves together with the Okun’s law interpreted as an additional aspect to the overall analysis. Our results suggest that the relationship between inflation and unemployment rates is positive in two analysed countries between 2000 and 2006 which directly contradicts Phillips’ theory. Additionally, we discover the importance of cost factors and ineffective labour market policies and their harmful effect on the accuracy of the Phillips curve model.
Keywords: Unemployment; Okun's law; Monetary policy; Inflation; Phillips curve

Information about study

Study programme: Finance and Accounting
Type of study programme: Magisterský studijní program
Assigned degree: Ing.
Institutions assigning academic degree: Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze
Faculty: Faculty of Finance and Accounting
Department: Department of Monetary Theory and Policy

Information on submission and defense

Date of assignment: 2. 9. 2019
Date of submission: 24. 5. 2020
Date of defense: 10. 6. 2020
Identifier in the InSIS system: https://insis.vse.cz/zp/70326/podrobnosti

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