The Role of Fiscal Policy and Financial development in restoring economic growth in Pakistan

Thesis title: The Role of Fiscal Policy and Financial development in restoring economic growth in Pakistan
Author: Sufyan, Muhammad
Thesis type: Diploma thesis
Supervisor: Brůna, Karel
Opponents: -
Thesis language: English
Abstract:
This research examines the impact of fiscal policy instruments and financial development on economic growth in Pakistan from 1981 to 2022 using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The results show a long-term relationship between response and explanatory variables, with government recurrent expenditure significantly enhancing the growth of the Pakistani economy. However, government capital expenditure, tax financial development, and inflation significantly depressed the economy's growth in the long run. In the short run, government recurrent expenditure, financial development, and taxation encouraged the economy's growth, while government capital expenditure and financial development inhibited it. The findings suggest that Pakistan's fiscal policy drive has not yielded to expectations in driving the economy, both in the long and short run. Policymakers should incentivize financial institutions to extend services to underserved areas and introduce tailored fiscal incentives, such as tax benefits for opening branches in rural or economically underdeveloped areas. Additionally, an institutional quality drive is needed to combat corruption, maintain regulatory quality, and observe the rule of law, which will stimulate fiscal policies and drive economic growth in Pakistan.
Keywords: Financial development; Economic Growth of Pakistan; Fiscal policy; Government Recurrent Expenditure; Government capital Expenditure
Thesis title: THE ROLE OF FISCAL POLICY AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT IN RESTORING ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PAKISTAN
Author: Sufyan, Muhammad
Thesis type: Diplomová práce
Supervisor: Brůna, Karel
Opponents: -
Thesis language: English
Abstract:
This research examines the impact of fiscal policy instruments and financial development on economic growth in Pakistan from 1981 to 2022 using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The results show a long-term relationship between response and explanatory variables, with government recurrent expenditure significantly enhancing the growth of the Pakistani economy. However, government capital expenditure, tax financial development, and inflation significantly depressed the economy's growth in the long run. In the short run, government recurrent expenditure, financial development, and taxation encouraged the economy's growth, while government capital expenditure and financial development inhibited it. The findings suggest that Pakistan's fiscal policy drive has not yielded to expectations in driving the economy, both in the long and short run. Policymakers should incentivize financial institutions to extend services to underserved areas and introduce tailored fiscal incentives, such as tax benefits for opening branches in rural or economically underdeveloped areas. Additionally, an institutional quality drive is needed to combat corruption, maintain regulatory quality, and observe the rule of law, which will stimulate fiscal policies and drive economic growth in Pakistan
Keywords: Fiscal policy; Government Recurrent Expenditure; Economic Growth of Pakistan; Government capital Expenditure; Financial development

Information about study

Study programme: Finance and Accounting
Type of study programme: Magisterský studijní program
Assigned degree: Ing.
Institutions assigning academic degree: Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze
Faculty: Faculty of Finance and Accounting
Department: Department of Monetary Theory and Policy

Information on submission and defense

Date of assignment: 13. 10. 2023
Date of submission: 4. 11. 2024
Date of defense: 2024

Files for download

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