Thesis title: |
Five Essays on Asset Pricing |
Author: |
Časta, Martin |
Thesis type: |
Dissertation thesis |
Supervisor: |
Pfeifer, Lukáš |
Opponents: |
Kočenda, Evžen; Kladívko, Kamil |
Thesis language: |
English |
Abstract: |
This dissertation explores the relationship between macroeconomic and financial variables and their influence on asset pricing and financial market dynamics. The dissertation comprises five self-contained articles, each employing advanced econometric techniques to analyze how macro-financial variables affect asset pricing and market predictability. These articles are: (1) Recovery Theorem and Risk Aversion: Evidence from the Czech Republic; (2) Deriving the Equity Risk Premium Using Dividend Futures; (3) Inflation, Interest Rates, and the Predictability of Stock Returns; (4) Supply Shocks, Demand Shocks, and Yield Curve Dynamics; and (5) Forecasting Nominal Exchange Rates Using a Dynamic Model Averaging Framework. Collectively, these studies shed light on the roles of risk aversion, macroeconomic shocks, and expectation formation in the pricing of financial assets. All five articles have been published in peer-reviewed academic journals, including Finance Research Letters, The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, and Heliyon. The overarching findings underscore the significance of intertemporal preferences and macroeconomic uncertainty in understanding the behavior of financial markets and improving predictive accuracy. |
Keywords: |
Asset Pricing; Forecasting; Pricing Kernel; Risk Aversion |
Thesis title: |
Pět esejí na oceňování aktiv |
Author: |
Časta, Martin |
Thesis type: |
Disertační práce |
Supervisor: |
Pfeifer, Lukáš |
Opponents: |
Kočenda, Evžen; Kladívko, Kamil |
Thesis language: |
English |
Abstract: |
Tato disertační práce zkoumá vztah mezi makroekonomickými a finančními proměnnými a jejich vliv na oceňování aktiv a dynamiku finančních trhů. Disertace se skládá z pěti samostatných studií, z nichž každá využívá pokročilé ekonometrické metody k analýze toho, jak makrofinanční proměnné ovlivňují oceňování aktiv a predikovatelnost tržních pohybů. Tyto studie jsou: (1) Recovery Theorem and Risk Aversion: Evidence from the Czech Republic; (2) Deriving the Equity Risk Premium Using Dividend Futures; (3) Inflation, Interest Rates, and the Predictability of Stock Returns; (4) Supply Shocks, Demand Shocks, and Yield Curve Dynamics; and (5) Forecasting Nominal Exchange Rates Using a Dynamic Model Averaging Framework. Tyto studie společně osvětlují roli averze k riziku, makroekonomických šoků a tvorby očekávání při oceňování finančních aktiv. Všechny články byly publikovány v recenzovaných odborných časopisech, jako jsou Finance Research Letters, The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance a Heliyon. Celkové závěry disertace zdůrazňují význam mezičasových preferencí a makroekonomické nejistoty pro pochopení chování finančních trhů a zlepšení přesnosti predikcí. |
Keywords: |
Oceňování Aktiv; Predikce; Pricing Kernel; Riziková Averze |
Information about study
Study programme: |
Finance |
Type of study programme: |
Doktorský studijní program |
Assigned degree: |
Ph.D. |
Institutions assigning academic degree: |
Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze |
Faculty: |
Faculty of Finance and Accounting |
Department: |
Department of Monetary Theory and Policy |
Information on submission and defense
Date of assignment: |
7. 6. 2024 |
Date of submission: |
5. 5. 2025 |
Date of defense: |
2025 |
Files for download
The files will be available after the defense of the thesis.