Mathematical models of market risk management used in banks

Thesis title: Mathematical models of market risk management used in banks
Author: Shvedova, Anastasiia
Thesis type: Diploma thesis
Supervisor: Brada, Jaroslav
Opponents: Tran, Van Quang
Thesis language: English
Abstract:
This thesis examines the performance and reliability of yield curve interpolation techniques during periods of monetary policy shifts and market turmoil. Chapter 1 establishes the foundational framework by exploring the evolution from IBOR-based single-curve approaches to modern OIS discounting within multi-curve frameworks, while presenting essential concepts of interest rate measurement and yield curve classification that underpin contemporary valuation methodologies. Chapter 2 develops the technical infrastructure by detailing bootstrapping procedures and interpolation techniques used in term structure construction, alongside examining regulatory requirements and practical applications that drive market risk assessment practices in modern banking environments. Chapter 3 presents the core empirical analysis, implementing a comprehensive methodology to evaluate how natural cubic spline interpolation, linear interpolation on zero rates, and linear interpolation on natural logarithm of discount factors perform under varying market conditions, particularly during central bank policy adjustments. The research challenges conventional assumptions about cubic spline superiority, demonstrating that simpler interpolation methods may provide greater stability and reliability during periods of market stress, ultimately contributing to more robust valuation frameworks for interest rate products.
Keywords: Zero-rate curve; Forward rate curve; Monetary policy; Yield curve; Discount factors; Natural cubic spline; Linear interpolation
Thesis title: Mathematical models of market risk management used in banks
Author: Shvedova, Anastasiia
Thesis type: Diplomová práce
Supervisor: Brada, Jaroslav
Opponents: Tran, Van Quang
Thesis language: English
Abstract:
This thesis examines the performance and reliability of yield curve interpolation techniques during periods of monetary policy shifts and market turmoil. Chapter 1 establishes the foundational framework by exploring the evolution from IBOR-based single-curve approaches to modern OIS discounting within multi-curve frameworks, while presenting essential concepts of interest rate measurement and yield curve classification that underpin contemporary valuation methodologies. Chapter 2 develops the technical infrastructure by detailing bootstrapping procedures and interpolation techniques used in term structure construction, alongside examining regulatory requirements and practical applications that drive market risk assessment practices in modern banking environments. Chapter 3 presents the core empirical analysis, implementing a comprehensive methodology to evaluate how natural cubic spline interpolation, linear interpolation on zero rates, and linear interpolation on natural logarithm of discount factors perform under varying market conditions, particularly during central bank policy adjustments. The research challenges conventional assumptions about cubic spline superiority, demonstrating that simpler interpolation methods may provide greater stability and reliability during periods of market stress, ultimately contributing to more robust valuation frameworks for interest rate products.
Keywords: Forward rate curve; Linear interpolation; Yield curve; Natural cubic spline; Discount factors; Zero-rate curve; Monetary policy

Information about study

Study programme: Bankovnictví a pojišťovnictví
Type of study programme: Magisterský studijní program
Assigned degree: Ing.
Institutions assigning academic degree: Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze
Faculty: Faculty of Finance and Accounting
Department: Department of Monetary Theory and Policy

Information on submission and defense

Date of assignment: 6. 10. 2023
Date of submission: 16. 6. 2025
Date of defense: 2025

Files for download

The files will be available after the defense of the thesis.

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