Použití bayesovských metod v rozhodování o investicích

My bachelor thesis points at the application of Bayes methods during the decision making and moreover is interested in general types of investments and their advantages and disadvantages. The output of my thesis is the portfolio of materials used for three possible investments, specifically for gold investments, funds and agricultural lands during three economical conditions of the world - during recession, stagnation and growth. The model will be furthemore entered by expert's accurate estimation of possibilities that one or another condition of the world will happen. Apart from this, results will be compared with the variation of decision making during the uncertainty and thanks to this, we will demonstrate the difficulties of this method. My thesis ends with the presentation of methods which develop the process and specify the groundwork for decision making.