Analýza trhu tekutých paliv, prognóza vývoje a vlivu na ekonomický růst

This thesis sets forward the following questions: Is the global supply of liquid fuels able to grow in parallel with the rising demand within the observed period (from the present until the year 2035 or 2040) and thus maintain the market equilibrium? At what prices? What effect will this development have on the economic growth? To find these answers, this thesis approaches the problem by means of an analysis of the constituent factors comprising the supply and the demand and of their respective tendencies. By means of evaluation of the current state of affairs and of the synthesis of findings derived from the analysis and from the several presented models created by independent experts and institutions, the prognosis of the expected supply development is created. This prognosis is compared to the expected development of the demand and its resulting effect on economic growth is evaluated. In the outcome, probable emergence of market mismatch is discovered, the cause for which lies on the supply side and its limited capability to respond with an according rise of production to the economic stimuli (rising demand, i.e. rising oil prices) -- a limit of geologic rather than economic nature. This mismatch will negatively impact the macroeconomic quantities and thus induce a sub-optimal development of economic growth.